[CogSci] UPDATED DEADLINE & DATASETS: Behavioral Science Forecasting Collaborative

[Igor Grossmann]

Dear colleagues,

Updated DEADLINE for FORECASTING COLLABORATIVE SUBMISSIONS for social consequences of COVID19: May 22. Also note, we updated gender & race bias datasets with better census weighting of estimates.

WEBSITE: predictions.uwaterloo.ca

We are seeking expert estimates (scientists, CS, etc.) based on expertise or models for life satisfaction, affect on social media, race and gender bias, political ideology, and political polarization. The goal of this project is to investigate the accuracy of forecasts made by social scientists about critical social issues in the US over the next 12 months.
By participating, you will gain insights into your estimate accuracy and have the opportunity to get authorship on the resulting publication.

If you choose to participate, you can use your expertise and/or data modeling to estimate points for each of the next 12 months, then answer a few questions about your rationale/model. You use past data (available at https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/datasets/<https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpredictions.uwaterloo.ca%2Fdatasets%2F%3Ffbclid%3DIwAR1IcyVVCxMRumRX_VSLGfiLdGlyONzns61_9HkIpxbnv3SId5szVf69w5s&h=AT3BowIik_DQMQafjizplIziJbWScC-W7cqPzRofFPeTB761HCLIM3fJ6dLIBnEHrrmhBogP9yRUDiCasdLvVRZRgDy1wbSuAudMMPCFgvO7ETPXKWmXAhV0AQwmIuZq&__tn__=-UK-R&c%5b0%5d=AT1ja7Zc9wwgz4sM-x00B516J4JCgLmUn3rrwLU1kuNfxjP611iTGBSm4jdnC5WdG68Pi9zGlaULEOVnDEe7hbYiCn8EprJn0_fVSylIJMn1h6ewnotZE6Dyedhws0yqJ2IGt4dMjyocdNC6Nkamd9NtRHUqqDH5Swv41RQw-QF35TfERj5isqE>) to inform these predictions. After six months, we will contact you again to obtain possible updates on your forecasts based on new data.

We are aiming to publish the results in an interdisciplinary high-impact journal, and to summarize the forecasts to the general public.
More details about how to participate are available her: https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/<https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpredictions.uwaterloo.ca%2F%3Ffbclid%3DIwAR02dT7e06Su1CwBZ2gQQiK6bekl-Oxf24drNKFeUc1k07bpXDdKJnYevv8&h=AT0mXKRznUNrC6P6_pklRc-hMAN2bTK1CIa-Bm865DWcJI9W2brCxPgEznjXKW5PuqInMz9cXVRmHjklaaRTkoZlS6x_IC51CcfxfZSr32ffKBWzHsyrokwzKeLiTaPi&__tn__=-UK-R&c%5b0%5d=AT1ja7Zc9wwgz4sM-x00B516J4JCgLmUn3rrwLU1kuNfxjP611iTGBSm4jdnC5WdG68Pi9zGlaULEOVnDEe7hbYiCn8EprJn0_fVSylIJMn1h6ewnotZE6Dyedhws0yqJ2IGt4dMjyocdNC6Nkamd9NtRHUqqDH5Swv41RQw-QF35TfERj5isqE>

Best wishes and stay safe!

Igor

On behalf of The Behavioral Science Forecasting Collaborative


Igor Grossmann, Ph.D.
__________________________________________
Director, Wisdom and Culture Laboratory
https://uwaterloo.ca/wisdom-and-culture-lab
Associate Editor, Social Psychological and Personality Science
Associate Editor, Emotion

Co-host of the On Wisdom Podcast
https://onwisdompodcast.com<https://onwisdompodcast.com/>

Associate Professor of Psychology
University of Waterloo, Canada
CV http://bit.ly/IgorG

###JOIN THE BEHAVIORAL & SOCIAL SCIENCE FORECASTING COLLABORATIVE###
https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/

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