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<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Dear colleagues,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Do you have predictions of the social / psychological consequences of COVID19?
<strong><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">We are seeking expert estimates (scientists, CS, etc.) based on expertise or models for life satisfaction, affect on social media, race and gender bias, political ideology, and political polarization.
</span></strong>The goal of this project is to investigate the accuracy of forecasts made by social scientists about critical social issues in the US over the next 12 months.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">More details about how to participate are available her:
</span>https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/<span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><strong><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">We have extended the deadline to May 22 to provide you with an opportunity to submit your forecasts. </span></strong><b><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"><br>
<br>
</span></b><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">By joining our initiative, you will gain insights into your estimate accuracy and have the opportunity to get authorship on the resulting publication. You will also help us as a field to gain deeper insight
into accuracy of existing psychological models for predicting fundamental societal phenomena.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">If you choose to participate, you can use your expertise and/or data modeling to estimate points for each of the next 12 months, then answer a few questions about your rationale/model. You use past data (available
at </span>predictions.uwaterloo.ca/datasets<span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">) to inform these predictions. After six months, we will contact you again to obtain possible updates on your forecasts based on new data.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Best wishes and stay safe!<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Igor<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">The Behavioral Science Forecasting Collaborative<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white">Igor Grossmann, Ph.D.</span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
<span style="background:white">__________________________________________</span><br>
<span style="background:white">Director, <i>Wisdom and Culture Laboratory</i></span><br>
</span><span lang="EN-CA"><a href="https://uwaterloo.ca/wisdom-and-culture-lab"><span style="color:blue;background:white">https://uwaterloo.ca/wisdom-and-culture-lab</span></a></span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white"> </span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
<span style="background:white">Associate Editor, <i>Social Psychological and Personality Science</i></span><br>
<span style="background:white">Associate Editor, <i>Emotion<o:p></o:p></i></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white">Co-host of the </span><i><span lang="EN-CA">On Wisdom Podcast</span></i><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
</span><span lang="EN-CA"><a href="https://onwisdompodcast.com/"><span style="color:blue;background:white">https://onwisdompodcast.com</span></a></span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white"> </span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
<br>
<span style="background:white">Associate Professor of Psychology</span><br>
<span style="background:white">University of Waterloo, Canada</span><br>
<span style="background:white">CV <a href="http://bit.ly/IgorG"><span style="color:blue">http://bit.ly/IgorG</span></a>
</span></span><span lang="EN-CA"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">###JOIN THE BEHAVIORAL & SOCIAL SCIENCE FORECASTING COLLABORATIVE###<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/"><span style="color:blue">https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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