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<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Dear colleagues,<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Do you have predictions of the societal consequences of COVID19? We are seeking expert estimates (scientists, CogSci, CS, etc.) based on expertise or models for life satisfaction, affect on social media, race
and gender bias, political ideology, and political polarization. The goal of this project is to investigate the accuracy of forecasts made by cognitive and social scientists about critical social issues in the US over the next 12 months.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">By participating, you will gain insights into your estimate accuracy and have the opportunity to get authorship on the resulting publication.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">If you choose to participate, you can use your expertise and/or data modeling to estimate points for each of the next 12 months, then answer a few questions about your rationale/model. You use past data (available
at <a href="https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/datasets/)" title="https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/datasets/)">
<span style="font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">predictions.uwaterloo.ca/datasets/)</span></a> to inform these predictions. After six months, we will contact you again to obtain possible updates on your forecasts based on new data.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">We are aiming to publish the results in an interdisciplinary high-impact journal, and to summarize the forecasts to the general public.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">More details about how to participate are available here:
<a href="https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/"><span style="font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif">https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/</span></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Best wishes and stay safe!<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">Igor<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white">Igor Grossmann, Ph.D.</span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
<span style="background:white">__________________________________________</span><br>
<span style="background:white">Director, <i>Wisdom and Culture Laboratory</i></span><br>
</span><span lang="EN-CA"><a href="https://uwaterloo.ca/wisdom-and-culture-lab"><span style="color:blue;background:white">https://uwaterloo.ca/wisdom-and-culture-lab</span></a></span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white"> </span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
<span style="background:white">Associate Editor, <i>Social Psychological and Personality Science</i></span><br>
<span style="background:white">Associate Editor, <i>Emotion<o:p></o:p></i></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white">Co-host of the </span><i><span lang="EN-CA">On Wisdom Podcast</span></i><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
</span><span lang="EN-CA"><a href="https://onwisdompodcast.com/"><span style="color:blue;background:white">https://onwisdompodcast.com</span></a></span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black;background:white"> </span><span lang="EN-CA" style="color:black"><br>
<br>
<span style="background:white">Associate Professor of Psychology</span><br>
<span style="background:white">University of Waterloo, Canada</span><br>
<span style="background:white">CV <a href="http://bit.ly/IgorG"><span style="color:blue">http://bit.ly/IgorG</span></a>
</span></span><span lang="EN-CA"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">###JOIN THE BEHAVIORAL & SOCIAL SCIENCE FORECASTING COLLABORATIVE###<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><a href="https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/"><span style="color:blue">https://predictions.uwaterloo.ca/</span></a><o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-CA"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
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